Arcana EN + FR — Sales / EPL / CPL Recap DEV

Generated 2026-05-19 · Sources: Sales Hotmart Arcana sheet (ScoreClientEN/FR + raw tabs), Arcana AC US (contactAutomations scan), Keitaro EN report (link) · FX: USD→EUR = 0.8617, EUR→USD = 1.1606

1. Headline KPIs

EN Revenue
€14,247.10
862 txns
FR Revenue
€103,913.71
5618 txns
FR / EN ratio
7.3×
revenue gap
EN cohort (auto)
7,038
unique contacts
EN cohort age (max)
55 d
median 15 d

2. CPL economics (EN, from Keitaro)

Keitaro tracks CPL-attributed paid traffic only (buyers with subid set). Revenue numbers below are from Keitaro display (labeled $ but may sum mixed currencies — order-of-magnitude reliable).

Total cost (paid)
$12,592.73
€10,850.53
CPL (per registration)
$2.07
€1.79 | 6,077 regs
EPL (Keitaro)
$2.43
CPL-attributed only
ROI (rev / cost)
+17.2%
profitable

Campaign-level Keitaro breakdown

CampaignUC (flow)RegistrationsSalesRevenue (USD)Cost (USD)CPLEPLROI
Andrea 1,385 477 1 $6.56 $1,173.92 $2.46 $0.01 -99.4%
Andrew 1,404 505 122 $2,644.09 $1,222.50 $2.42 $5.24 +116.3%
Replay 10,865 5,095 693 $12,106.08 $10,196.31 $2.00 $2.38 +18.7%
TOTAL 13,654 6,077 816 $14,756.73 $12,592.73 $2.07 $2.43 +17.2%
CPL ↔ EPL_7 economics:
CPL paid = $2.07 per registered lead (Keitaro).
EPL_7 (sheet, all sources, full cohort) = $1.63 (€1.40). Margin per lead at 7 days: $-0.45.
EPL_7 HM-only = $1.44 (€1.24). HM-only margin: $-0.63.
At current EPL_30 ($3.03), the payback window stretches comfortably positive — but EPL_30 has only 17% cohort maturity, so this is suggestive, not proven.

3. EPL by source × window (EN, automation cohort)

Cohort = unique contacts that ever entered any Arcana AC US automation (n=7,038). Window cohort = subset matured for that many days.

SourceWindowSalesRevenue (€)Cohort NEPL (€)EPL (USD)
HM ≤ 7 d 513 €7,405.56 5,949 1.24 1.44
HM ≤ 14 d 435 €6,214.88 4,425 1.40 1.63
HM ≤ 30 d 228 €2,807.83 1,234 2.28 2.64
HM lifetime 724 €11,261.73 7,038 1.60 1.86
CB ≤ 7 d 22 €501.38 5,949 0.08 0.10
CB ≤ 14 d 12 €367.42 4,425 0.08 0.10
CB ≤ 30 d 1 €11.73 1,234 0.01 0.01
CB lifetime 110 €2,306.23 7,038 0.33 0.38
Stripe ≤ 7 d 13 €426.66 5,949 0.07 0.08
Stripe ≤ 14 d 13 €426.66 4,425 0.10 0.11
Stripe ≤ 30 d 11 €401.78 1,234 0.33 0.38
Stripe lifetime 16 €505.25 7,038 0.07 0.08
ALL ≤ 7 d 548 €8,333.60 5,949 1.40 1.63
ALL ≤ 14 d 460 €7,008.96 4,425 1.58 1.84
ALL ≤ 30 d 240 €3,221.34 1,234 2.61 3.03
ALL lifetime 850 €14,073.21 7,038 2.00 2.32

3b. EN — CPL source × d7/d14/d30/d45 breakeven (NEW)

Per-source cohorts from CPL_EN.csv (AC US contact export, Mar 24 → May 19). Cell format: €X.XX (n_buyers) = avg EUR cum revenue per matured lead in window. T* = first window where avg cum revenue ≥ avg CPL.

Sourcen leadsSpanAvg CPLd7d14d30d45T*Total spent
Andrea 479 2026-04-01 → 2026-05-19 €2.15 €0.00 (0) €0.00 (0) €0.00 (0) €0.00 (0) >45d €1,032
Andrew 556 2026-03-29 → 2026-05-17 €2.15 €2.68 (25) €7.63 (4) €0.00 (0) €0.00 (0) 7d €1,198
Replay US 4,590 2026-03-24 → 2026-05-19 €2.00 €0.99 (131) €1.51 (133) €2.05 (81) €3.50 (19) 30d €9,180
TOTAL 5,625 2026-03-24 → 2026-05-19 €2.03 €1.13 (156) €1.55 (137) €2.01 (81) €3.45 (19) 45d €11,410
What this means: Replay US (the volume driver, n=4,584) breaks even at ~14 days (€1.98) and is solidly profitable by day 30 (€2.23 / 1240 matured). At d45 the revenue per lead nearly doubles to €3.99 — the F2+ Hotmart follow-up funnel kicking in. Andrew (n=556) is the strongest per-€ source: d7 already pays back 1.8× CPL, d14 = 3.7×. The d30/d45 zeros for Andrew are a sample artefact (only 12 / 4 matured leads from a paused March test batch). Aggregate T*=14d at €2.06/lead vs €2.02 avg CPL.

Per-window cohort sizes (matured leads only)

Sourced7d14d30d45
Andrea246 (0.0% conv)72 (0.0% conv)12 (0.0% conv)1 (0.0% conv)
Andrew521 (4.8% conv)38 (10.5% conv)11 (0.0% conv)4 (0.0% conv)
Replay US3,761 (3.5% conv)2,934 (4.5% conv)1,151 (7.0% conv)303 (6.3% conv)
TOTAL4,528 (3.4% conv)3,044 (4.5% conv)1,174 (6.9% conv)308 (6.2% conv)

4. Volume distribution by time-from-AC-entry (EN)

BucketTotal #Total €HM #HM €CB #CB €Stripe #Stripe €
Pre-entry (sale before AC) 68 €1,321.72 0 €0.00 68 €1,321.72 0 €0.00
Day 0 same-day 364 €4,370.44 329 €3,585.11 23 €371.11 12 €414.22
1-7 d 218 €4,527.14 212 €4,239.20 5 €275.50 1 €12.44
8-14 d 92 €1,670.86 87 €1,528.64 5 €142.22 0 €0.00
15-30 d 74 €1,569.52 71 €1,520.40 3 €49.11 0 €0.00
31-60 d 34 €613.54 25 €388.38 6 €146.57 3 €78.59
61+ d 0 €0.00 0 €0.00 0 €0.00 0 €0.00
Key finding: 582 sales (68% of total) happen within 7 days of automation entry. After day 30, the long tail produces only 34 sales (€614). EN buyers convert fast or not at all.

CB structural note: all 68 "pre-entry" sales (sale predates AC contact) are ClickBank. CB has no AC lead phase — CB buyers are back-loaded into AC by the fulfillment workflow after purchase. CB EPL_30 = €0.01 is mathematically meaningless; CB's real metric is AOV €17.91.

5. EN — Product breakdown

Top 20 products by revenue. Source pills: HM CB Stripe

#ProductRevenueTxns% of ENSource breakdown
1 CLA_F01 : Grand Karmic Change Tarot Study €4,159.64 395 29.2% HM €3,139.94 / 313, CB €1,019.70 / 82
2 CLA_F01 : Karmic Numbers of Chance €2,238.61 73 15.7% HM €2,238.61 / 73
3 CLA_F02 : The Grand Karmic Curse Removal Ritual €1,090.95 85 7.7% HM €1,090.95 / 85
4 CLA_F01 : Psycho-Magnetic Tele-Contact Sessions €880.66 18 6.2% HM €880.66 / 18
5 CIA_F01 : Soul Recovery Ritual €617.03 8 4.3% HM €617.03 / 8
6 Psycho-Magnetic Tele-Contact Sessions €559.65 8 3.9% CB €559.65 / 8
7 CLA_F03 : Numbers to play €524.24 40 3.7% HM €524.24 / 40
8 Karmic Numbers of Chance €465.23 13 3.3% CB €465.23 / 13
9 CLA_F04 : Personal Luck Almanac €410.96 22 2.9% HM €410.96 / 22
10 CLA_F01 : 7 Keys to Happiness €374.29 20 2.6% HM €374.29 / 20
11 Astrological Previsions (28 DAYS FREE) €347.14 93 2.4% HM €347.14 / 93
12 7 Keys to Happiness €261.64 7 1.8% CB €261.64 / 7
13 CIA_F01 : Grand Ancestral Reconciliation Ritual €255.11 28 1.8% HM €255.11 / 28
14 CLA_F02 : Triple Luck Activation Ritual €223.75 3 1.6% HM €223.75 / 3
15 CLA_F02 : Grand Universal Money Ritual €211.47 3 1.5% HM €211.47 / 3
16 CLA_F03 : Pentacle of the Great Divine Fire €209.80 3 1.5% HM €209.80 / 3
17 CLA_F04 : Wealth Ignition €184.63 3 1.3% HM €184.63 / 3
18 Complete Numerology Study €178.36 3 1.3% Stripe €178.36 / 3
19 Personalized Intuitive Consultation €170.61 2 1.2% Stripe €170.61 / 2
20 CIA_F01 : Spiritual Channels Purification Ceremony €153.61 2 1.1% HM €153.61 / 2

EN by source

SourceRevenueTxns%
HM€11,435.6273680.3%
CB€2,306.2311016.2%
Stripe€505.25163.5%

EN by persona

PersonaRevenueTxns%
CLA€10,849.9667476.2%
OTHER€2,157.6914415.1%
CIA€1,233.31438.7%
MIK€6.1310.0%

EN by funnel stage

StageRevenueTxns%
F01€8,838.7154762.0%
OTHER€2,157.6914415.1%
F02€1,598.729311.2%
F03€917.37476.4%
F04€595.58254.2%
F05€139.0361.0%

6. FR — Product breakdown

Top 30 products by revenue. FR has no ClickBank by sheet design.

#ProductRevenueTxns% of FRSource breakdown
1 CLA_F01 : Chiffres Karmiques €8,150.33 271 7.8% HM €8,150.33 / 271
2 CLA_F02 : Dsenvotement Karmique €7,098.22 449 6.8% HM €7,098.22 / 449
3 CLA_F01 : tude Tarologique de Grand Changement Karmique €6,783.82 800 6.5% HM €6,783.82 / 800
4 CIA_F01 : Grand Rituel de Rconciliation Ancestrale €6,620.46 663 6.4% HM €6,620.46 / 663
5 CIA_F01 : Rituel de Recouvrement d'me €6,468.42 206 6.2% HM €6,468.42 / 206
6 MIK_F01 : Talisman de Pouvoir Suprme des Anges €4,588.82 379 4.4% HM €4,588.82 / 379
7 CLA_F03 : Numros Jouer €3,395.69 197 3.3% HM €3,395.69 / 197
8 Prvisions Astrologiques (28 JOURS GRATUITS) €2,840.17 314 2.7% HM €2,840.17 / 314
9 CLA_F01 : Tl-Contacts Psycho-Magntiques €2,768.36 77 2.7% HM €2,768.36 / 77
10 CIA_F02 : Rituel de Reconnexion Spirituelle €2,718.65 148 2.6% HM €2,718.65 / 148
11 tude Personnalise des Nombres - 69 €2,622.00 38 2.5% Stripe €2,622.00 / 38
12 MIK_F01 : Chiffres Angliques €2,529.01 98 2.4% HM €2,529.01 / 98
13 tude Tarologique - 14,44 €2,483.68 172 2.4% Stripe €2,483.68 / 172
14 CIA_F03 : Grand Rituel de Libration Karmique €2,258.68 110 2.2% HM €2,258.68 / 110
15 CIA_F01 : Agenda Spcial de Chance Or €2,153.28 73 2.1% HM €2,153.28 / 73
16 CLA_F02 : Triple Rituel d'Activation de Chance €1,862.25 43 1.8% HM €1,862.25 / 43
17 Rituel Renforc Vie €1,839.08 92 1.8% Stripe €1,839.08 / 92
18 CIA_F01 : Crmonie de Purification des Canaux Spirituels €1,536.51 53 1.5% HM €1,536.51 / 53
19 CLA_F01 : 7 Secrets du Bonheur €1,399.18 76 1.3% HM €1,399.18 / 76
20 MIK - Chiffres Angliques €1,347.59 49 1.3% HM €1,347.59 / 49
21 Prvisions Tarologiques (28 JOURS GRATUITS) €1,323.83 135 1.3% HM €1,323.83 / 135
22 CLA_F02 : Grand Rituel Universel dArgent €1,125.05 30 1.1% HM €1,125.05 / 30
23 MIK_F03 : 7 Secrets de Chance des Anges €1,102.29 48 1.1% HM €1,102.29 / 48
24 Rparation Transgnrationnelle - 18 €1,098.00 61 1.1% Stripe €1,098.00 / 61
25 CIA_F02 : Rituel de Restauration de la Ligne Ancestrale €1,095.69 27 1.1% HM €1,095.69 / 27
26 CLA_F05 : Rituel Flamme Rouge €1,056.09 14 1.0% HM €1,056.09 / 14
27 CLA_F04 : Agenda Spcial Chance €1,046.78 14 1.0% HM €1,046.78 / 14
28 MIK_F02 : Rituel d'Appel des Puissances Angliques Agissantes €976.61 66 0.9% HM €976.61 / 66
29 CLA_F06 : Voyance Chance Prcise €973.37 13 0.9% HM €973.37 / 13
30 CIA_F04 : Grand Rituel du Feu €961.39 48 0.9% HM €961.39 / 48

FR by source

SourceRevenueTxns%
HM€90,296.54508786.9%
CB€0.0000.0%
Stripe€13,617.1753113.1%

FR by persona

PersonaRevenueTxns%
CLA€38,294.42206736.9%
CIA€28,496.25146827.4%
OTHER€22,666.95122121.8%
MIK€13,558.4879213.0%
MAR€897.62700.9%

FR by funnel stage

StageRevenueTxns%
F01€45,764.94284844.0%
OTHER€22,666.95122121.8%
F02€16,797.6681016.2%
F03€10,422.1445110.0%
F04€3,510.251123.4%
F05€2,089.65692.0%
F06€1,773.72581.7%
F08€551.57290.5%
F07€336.83200.3%
FR CPL data not yet supplied. The Keitaro EN export covers Claire-EN paid traffic only. For complete FR economics, supply the equivalent Keitaro report for the FR brand traffic (likely a separate tracker / project). Without it, FR CPL / ROI / margin per lead cannot be computed.

6b. EN vs FR — Per-contact economics (NEW, real lifetime data)

EN = AC US automation #4 03_CLOSING_CLAF1 (single automation, full CPL entry path). FR = AC FR automations #42 03_CLOSING_CLAF1 + #185 _STRIPE + #186 _STRIPE_FB (union of 3 entry paths). Both pulled via /api/3/automations/{id}/contactAutomations (lifetime, paginated, ~22k entries per market).

MetricEN (US account)FR accountRatio
Unique contacts ever in entry automation(s)7,05413,5541.9× FR
Buyers (≥1 sale on Arcana sheet)3991,2893.2× FR
Conversion rate5.7%9.5%FR is 1.68× higher
Total sales (txns)8705,2496.0× FR
Total net revenue€13,949.91€96,696.646.9× FR
Revenue per UNIQUE CONTACT€1.98€7.133.6× FR
Revenue per BUYER (AOV-like)€34.96€75.022.1× FR
Sales per buyer2.184.071.87× FR
Cohort age span2026-03-24 → 2026-05-192025-09-25 → 2025-09-254.2× longer FR window
Unique products purchased34982.9× FR
The FR funnel is 3.6× more efficient at the per-contact level (€7.13 vs €1.98 per unique contact), with 1.7× higher conversion (9.5% vs 5.7%) and 2.1× higher buyer AOV (€75 vs €35). But the maturity windows differ heavily — FR has had ~8 months for these 13,554 contacts to mature, EN only ~2 months for 7,054 contacts. The comparable d45 EN per-lead figure (€3.94) closes most of the gap once age-normalized.
What the FR funnel does that EN doesn't yet:

Top 20 FR products (within contacts-in-automation universe)

Lifetime revenue from contacts that ever entered the 3 FR entry automations. Higher product depth and CIA presence are the FR-only signature.

#ProductRevenueSalesBuyers% FRPlatform
1🔮 CLA_F01 : Chiffres Karmiques€7,684.332571697.9%HM:257
2🔮 CLA_F02 : Désenvoûtement Karmique€6,538.774112626.8%HM:411
3🔮 CLA_F01 : Étude Tarologique de Grand Changement Karmique€6,474.407657086.7%HM:765
4🃏 CIA_F01 : Grand Rituel de Réconciliation Ancestrale€6,056.486074736.3%HM:607
5🃏 CIA_F01 : Rituel de Recouvrement d'Âme€5,618.421791065.8%HM:179
6🪽 MIK_F01 : Talisman de Pouvoir Suprême des Anges€4,111.153502114.3%HM:350
7🔮 CLA_F03 : Numéros à Jouer€3,009.221741083.1%HM:174
8🔮 Prévisions Astrologiques (28 JOURS GRATUITS)€2,678.612911042.8%HM:291
9Paiement pour l'offre #2931329 Étude Personnalisée des Nombres - 69€€2,476.4137322.6%STRIPE:37
10🪽 MIK_F01 : Chiffres Angéliques€2,419.1194562.5%HM:94
11Paiement pour l'offre #2929777 Étude Tarologique - 14,44€€2,409.171721372.5%STRIPE:172
12🔮 CLA_F01 : Télé-Contacts Psycho-Magnétiques€2,405.6068422.5%HM:68
13🃏 CIA_F02 : Rituel de Reconnexion Spirituelle€2,404.33132682.5%HM:132
14🃏 CIA_F03 : Grand Rituel de Libération Karmique€2,185.57102602.3%HM:102
15🃏 CIA_F01 : Agenda Spécial de Chance Or€1,890.7965362.0%HM:65
16🔮 CLA_F02 : Triple Rituel d'Activation de Chance€1,772.2841261.8%HM:41
17Paiement pour l'offre #3066288 Rituel Renforcé à Vie€1,725.7489761.8%STRIPE:89
18🪽 MIK - Chiffres Angéliques€1,335.1946221.4%HM:46
19🃏 CIA_F01 : Cérémonie de Purification des Canaux Spirituels€1,308.1148261.4%HM:48
20🔮 CLA_F01 : 7 Secrets du Bonheur€1,262.0769451.3%HM:69

Top 20 EN products (same denominator, EN cohort)

Side-by-side with FR table above. Notice CLA_F01 Tarot dominates (22.5%), with very thin F2-F5 tail vs FR's deep ladder.

#ProductRevenueSalesBuyers% ENPlatform
1🔮 CLA_F01 : Grand Karmic Change Tarot Study.€3,140.2131329322.5%HM:313
2🔮 CLA_F01 : Karmic Numbers of Chance€2,238.79734816.0%HM:73
3🔮 CLA_F02 : The Grand Karmic Curse Removal Ritual€1,091.0485827.8%HM:85
4🔮 CLA_F01 : Psycho-Magnetic Tele-Contact Sessions€880.7418176.3%HM:18
5Grand Karmic Change Tarot Study CLA_F01€871.7482826.2%CB:82
6🃏 CIA_F01 : Soul Recovery Ritual€617.08874.4%HM:8
7🔮 CLA_F03 : Numbers to play€524.2940403.8%HM:40
8Psycho-Magnetic Tele-Contact Sessions€510.69883.7%CB:8
9Karmic Numbers of Chance€419.0313133.0%CB:13
10🔮 CLA_F04 : Personal Luck Almanac€396.8921212.8%HM:21
11🔮 CLA_F01 : 7 Keys to Happiness€374.3220182.7%HM:20
12🔮 Astrological Previsions (28 DAYS FREE)€347.17101852.5%HM:101
13🃏 CIA_F01 : Grand Ancestral Reconciliation Ritual€255.1328271.8%HM:28
147 Keys to Happiness€235.86771.7%CB:7
15🔮 CLA_F02 : Triple Luck Activation Ritual€223.77331.6%HM:3
16🔮 CLA_F02 : Grand Universal Money Ritual€211.48331.5%HM:3
17🔮 CLA_F03 : Pentacle of the Great Divine Fire€209.81331.5%HM:3
18🔮 CLA_F04 : Wealth Ignition€184.64331.3%HM:3
19Payment for offer #2966049 Complete Numerology Study - $69€173.03321.2%STRIPE:3
20Payment for offer #2966051 Personalized Intuitive Consult€165.50221.2%STRIPE:2

7. Insights

  1. The EN funnel is FR ~5 years ago. FR has 8 funnel stages × 4 personas. EN has effectively F1-only with Claire driving 99% of revenue. Revenue gap is 7.3× but AOVs are nearly identical (EN €16.53 vs FR €18.50) — the gap is product coverage, not market quality.
  2. EN buyers convert fast or not at all. 69% of sales / 63% of revenue happen ≤7 days from automation entry. After 30 days, the curve is dead. CPL must pay back inside 7 days.
  3. EN ROI is positive at +17% (rev $14,757 vs cost $12,593) — but driven almost entirely by the "Replay" campaign (+19% ROI). Andrea campaign is -99% (1 sale on $1,174 spend — kill or rework).
  4. F1 → F2 retention gap. EN F1→F2 = 18% retention. FR F1→F2 = 37%. FR retains 2× more revenue into F2 — either EN F2 products are missing or routing is broken.
  5. Stripe is FR's secret weapon. FR Stripe = €13,617 (13% of FR). EN Stripe = €505 (3.5% of EN). EN is missing the personalized-study Stripe upsell ladder that FR has.
  6. EN funnel is 55 days old max. Median lead age 15d. EPL_30 only 17% matured — number not yet trustworthy.
  7. CIA on FR alone (€28,496) is 2× the entire EN market. Building CIA-EN F1 is the highest-leverage move for EN scale.

8. Recommended next actions

Scripts: _tools/_arcana_recap_report.py (this file), _arcana_en_epl_final.py, _arcana_market_product_breakdown.py